Research from the Cooperative Election Study to better understand our contemporary politics

Americans are more satisfied when their own party, rather than commissions, control redistricting

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by the Carl Albert Congressional Research and Studies Center In the November 2024 elections, Ohio voters rejected a proposed constitutional amendment that would have created a citizen-led redistricting commission aimed at reducing gerrymandering. The proposal would have replaced the current Ohio Redistricting Commission on which elected officials serve as members. Our recently published article examining …

When the dust has settled from the election, is there anything Democrats and Republicans can agree on?

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by Rebecca Bankhead and Jeremy C. Pope Heading into the 2024 election, lots of people want to believe that America is always and quite irrevocably polarized. It’s a reasonable place to start: Congress provides a never-ending stream of evidence and issues that divide Democrats and Republicans are highlighted in headlines nationwide, creating images of division …

CES estimates on the 2024 presidential election

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Each election year, the Cooperative Election Study (CES) produces summary results from its pre-election interviews with American adults. The 2024 pre-election results, including dynamic crosstabs, can be found here. Results for key swing states can be found here. The survey shows Kamala Harris with a 4-point lead over Donald Trump among likely voters (51% – …

Do conservatives really have better mental health? Perhaps not.

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by Thomas Hershewe, Zoe Kava, and Brian Schaffner Conservatives are happier and have better mental health than liberals, or at least that’s what surveys show. In a previous post, we concluded that conservatives rate their mental health higher than liberals, moderates, and the population as a whole; this mental health divide still persists even after …