Research from the Cooperative Election Study to better understand our contemporary politics
by Rebecca Bankhead and Jeremy C. Pope Heading into the 2024 election, lots of people want to believe that America is always and quite irrevocably polarized. It’s a reasonable place to start: Congress provides a never-ending stream of evidence and issues that divide Democrats and Republicans are highlighted in headlines nationwide, creating images of division …
Each election year, the Cooperative Election Study (CES) produces summary results from its pre-election interviews with American adults. The 2024 pre-election results, including dynamic crosstabs, can be found here. Results for key swing states can be found here. The survey shows Kamala Harris with a 4-point lead over Donald Trump among likely voters (51% – …
by Kyle Krell The Pew Research Center says that “the basic goal of a good public opinion poll is to give everyone in the population, regardless of their wealth, age, education, race, knowledge of politics… an equal voice about the issues of the day.” Polls aim to be representative of and generalizable to the broader …
by Thomas Hershewe, Zoe Kava, and Brian Schaffner Conservatives are happier and have better mental health than liberals, or at least that’s what surveys show. In a previous post, we concluded that conservatives rate their mental health higher than liberals, moderates, and the population as a whole; this mental health divide still persists even after …
by Thomas Hershewe, Zoe Kava, and Brian Schaffner This post originally appeared on the Tufts Public Opinion Lab Blog. Despite being the rematch that some pollsters say voters “never really wanted”, the Biden-Trump election is returning. Many have pointed out that we’re in a strikingly similar spot as we were four years ago, just with …