It’s been another bumpy week in Washington.

While I didn’t agree with the Iran deal when it was first proposed, I was hopeful that the days of debating its merits were over. It was, as we say, a done deal. That was until Tuesday, when President Donald Trump announced the U.S. would pull out, leaving behind our co-signers – our allies and friends – across the Atlantic to try and salvage the deal.

It’s my opinion that pulling out of the deal was a mistake, and here’s why:

First, it adds uncertainty to a region that is already a powder keg. While we don’t yet know how Iran will react to the President’s decision, their influence in the Middle East is undeniably growing. And as our European allies stick with the deal, we lose further influence in a region that is so critical to U.S. security. I had a chance to chat with MSNBC’s Katy Tur on the topic.

In addition to our partners in Europe, the U.S. must support its Middle Eastern allies in the growing confrontation with Iran. As I wrote in Bloomberg, the most immediate threat to U.S. interests – and our key ally, Israel – isn’t Iran’s nuclear program, but rather Tehran’s stunning expansion of influence. Its entrenchment in Syria, for example, generates ever-greater prospects for a major Iranian-Israeli conflict. Iran and its proxies also threaten America’s Sunni Arab allies, seek sway from Lebanon to Yemen, create more jihadis and refugees, put energy supplies at risk, and target U.S. ships and Saudi cities with missiles.

Regarding Israel, there is a lot more that Washington D.C. can do to offer further support. Ideas include:

  • Elevate Israel’s official standing as an ally to that of the U.K. or Australia in terms of sharing intelligence, weapons technology and other vital information.
  • Coordinate closely with Israel to support legitimate security interests in Syria against Iranian encroachment.
  • Encourage higher levels of Israeli-Arab security cooperation, acting as a hub between spokes in Riyadh and Jerusalem, as well as Amman and Cairo.
  • Facilitate Israeli intelligence-sharing and operational coordination with Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, enabling more effective action against Iranian arms transfers and Hezbollah operations in Yemen.

And while I think it’s highly unlikely that Iran is presently pursuing nuclear weapons, they could certainly do so in the future; pulling out of the deal only encourages this behavior.

Second, the president’s decision could have a serious impact on our negotiations with North Korea. Why would Kim Jong-un ever agree to a deal with the United States, when we just broke one with another burgeoning nuclear power?

Additionally, it divides us from our European allies who, in all likelihood, will stay in the deal (as will Iran). In this case, will the U.S. be forced to impose sanctions on European companies doing business with Iran? As I told NPR, that’s a tricky knot to untie.

To top it all off, as I told Hugh Hewitt, by virtue of entering into the agreement when we did, we’ve already given Iran billions of dollars that we’ll never get back.

It’s unclear why President Trump decided to pull out entirely, beyond fulfilling a campaign promise to dismantle Barack Obama’s legacy. But, as I told the team at Morning Joe, domestic politics should not be a driver of foreign policy nor should it overcome common sense advice made by leading policymakers and experts.

If the President thinks his actions will force Iran back to the table to negotiate a new deal, I think he should think again: The odds on that happening are about the same as Mexico paying for his­ border wall.

As always, thanks for reading.

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