December 2020 Conference: Agenda

The welcome and plenary sessions of the event will be open to the public. The conference will also feature a series of four roundtable discussions open only to invited experts and students. Each session will feature presentations by Russian and American speakers, followed by discussion. To ensure interactive debate and allow sufficient time for interaction among participants, the speakers are requested to restrict their initial remarks to seven minutes. On the agenda, the title of each session is accompanied by a tentative list of questions for discussion.

Wednesday, December 16

Hall 1, MGIMO University

15.00 – 15.15: Registration
15.15 – 16.00: Welcome Session
16.00 – 16.15: Break
16.15 – 17.45: Plenary Session. Predicting the Future of Russia-U.S. Relations
How could domestic political processes in the United States and Russia affect Russia-U.S. relations in the coming years? How could the relative power of the United States and Russia change going forward? Which foreseeable changes in the world may contribute to improved Russia-U.S. relations?

Thursday, December 17

Hall 423, MGIMO University

14.15 – 15.45: Session 1. Emerging Trends and Methods in Forecasting International Politics
How have advances in statistical modeling, data collection, and computational performance improved the ability of scholars in forecasting international politics? Which emerging trends and methods may be most useful in making predictions? How do forecasts differ with respect to scope, time horizon, model, and data? What applications does forecasting have for business and the intelligence community?

15.45 – 16.15: Coffee Break
16.15 – 17.45: Session 2. Predicting the Future with International Relations Scholarship
How could demographic shifts affect international politics in the coming years? Could the pace of globalization speed up? Could modernization around the world be accompanied by the spread of democracy? How prevalent might sanctions and trade barriers be as tools of foreign policy?

Friday, December 18

Hall 423, MGIMO University

14.15 – 15.45: Session 3. Forecasting International Politics with Economics and Technology Scholarship
Which countries may see the greatest economic growth, decline in poverty and economic inequality, rise in standard of living, investment opportunities, and advances in science and technology? What could be the economic and political consequences of rising automation?
15.45 – 16.15: Coffee Break
16.15 – 17.45: Session 4. The Future of the Great Powers
What are possible trajectories of the United States, Russia, China, the European Union, and India? What could be the potent areas of competition and cooperation among the great powers? How could the growing economic and military strength of China affect its relations with the other great powers?
17.45 – 18.45: Closing Reception