Publications

Book

Structural Change, Fundamentals and Growth: A Framework and Country Studies (Edited by Margaret McMillan, Dani Rodrik and Claudia Sepulveda) published by IFPRI/PRC April 2017. With contributions from Dani Rodrik, Margaret McMillan, Nina Pavcnik, Devashish Mitra, Sebastian Galliani, Dietrich Vollrath, Remi Jedwab, Brian McCaig, Sergio Firpo, James Thurlow and Danielle Resnick

Journal Articles

“The recent growth boom in developing economies: A structural change perspective”, The Palgrave Handbook of Development Economics: Critical Reflections on Globalization and Development, Edited by Jose Antonio Ocampo, Forthcoming (with Xinshen Diao and Dani Rodrik)

“Manufacturing in Ethiopia and Tanzania: Challenges and Opportunities” Globalization and Development, Forthcoming

“Trade Liberalization and Labor Market Adjustment in Botswana”, The Journal of African Economies, Forthcoming (with Brian McCaig)

Optimal local content for extractive industries: How can policies best create benefits for Tanzania? Forthcoming in Natural Resources, Structural Change and Industry in Africa , edited by John Page and Finn Tarp (with Mia Ellis)

“Understanding the Role of Rural Non-Farm Enterprises in Africa’s Economic Transformation: Evidence from Tanzania” The Journal of Development Studies , 54:5, 833-855 (with Xinshen Diao and Eduardo Magalhaes) 2018

“Small Firms, Structural Change and Labor Productivity Growth in Tanzania” World Development Volume 105, pp 400-415 (with Xinshen Diao, Josaphat Kweka) May 2018

“Agricultural Labour Productivity and Industrialisation: Lessons for Africa” Journal of African Economies , Volume 27, Issue 1, 1 January 2018, Pages 28–65, (with Xinshen Diao and Sam Wangwe)

“The Changing Structure of Africa’s Economies” The World Bank Economic Review , Volume 31, Issue 2, 1 June 2017, Pages 412–433 (with Xinshen Diao and Kenneth Harttgen)

“Unlocking Tanzania’s Manufacturing Potential” , in Adam, Christopher S., Paul Collier, and Benno Ndulu, eds. Tanzania: The Path to Prosperity. Oxford University Press, 2017.

“Understanding African Poverty Over the Longue Duree: A Review of Africa’s Development in Historical Perspective” Journal of Economic Literature , vol. 54, no. 3, September 2016

“Why I’m Hopeful About Africa in 2016” published in Foresight Africa: Top Priorities for the Continent in 2016 , Brooking Institution, Washington DC, January 2016

“Africa’s Quiet Revolution” The Oxford Handbook of Africa and Economics: Policies and Practices (2015): 39. Editors Justin Lin and Celestin Monga (with Ken Harttgen)

“Understanding Economic Transformation in Africa” World Development, Volume 63,Pages 1-10, November 2014, (with Derek Headey)

“Globalization, Structural Change and Productivity Growth: With An Update on Africa,” World Development , Volume 63, Pages 11-32, November 2014, (with Dani Rodrik and
Inigo Verduzco)

“Estimating the Impact of Trade and Offshoring on American Workers Using the Current Population Surveys” Review of Economics and Statistics , Vol. 96, No. 4, Pages 581-595, October 2014, (with Ann Harrison and Avi Ebenstein)

“Disease Control, Demographic Change and Institutional Development in Africa” Journal of Development Economics , Volume 110, Pages 313-326, September 2014, (with Harounan Kazianga and William Masters)

“The Changing Structure of Africa’s Economies,” background paper for the African Development Bank, African Economic Outlook 2013: Natural Resources and Structural Change

“The Role of Foreign Investment in Ethiopia’s Leather Value Chain” Ghana Strategy Support Program, Policy Brief, 2013

“Blue Skies: How One Firm Overcame Binding Constraints” Ghana Strategy Support Program, Policy Brief, 2013

“Measuring the Impact of Structural Change on Labor’s Share of Income.” Background paper for WDR 2013 and results published in: World Development Report 2013: Jobs, World Bank. 2012. Washington, DC: World Bank. (with Inigo Verduzco)

“Globalization, Structural Change and Productivity Growth,” 2011. Results reprinted in; World Development Report 2013: Jobs, World Bank. 2012. Washington, DC: World Bank. (with Dani Rodrik)

“Understanding Economic Transformation in Africa through Country Studies” Journal of African Development, Spring 2012, Volume 14, No. 12. (with Derek Headey)

“Recent Perspectives on Trade and Inequality” Annual Review of Economics, Vol. 3: 261 – 289 Volume publication date September 2011. (with Ann Harrison and John McLaren)

“Offshoring Jobs? Multinationals and U.S. Manufacturing Employment.” August 2011. Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 93, No. 3, Pages 857-875. (with Ann Harrison)

“Crop Price Indemnified Loans for Farmers: A Pilot Experiment in Rural Ghana.” 2011. Journal of Risk and Insurance, 78: 37–55. (with Karlan, D., Kutsoati, E., and Udry, C)

“Globalization, Structural Change and Productivity Growth” 2011. In Making Globalization Socially Sustainable, edited by Mark Bachetta and Marion Jansen, International Labor Organization, Geneva Switzerland. (with Dani Rodrik)

“New Evidence on Trade and Employment: An Overview.” September, 2011. In Trade and Employment: From Myths to Facts, edited by Marion Jansen, Ralf Peters and Jose Manuel Salazar-Xirinachs, A joint publication of the International Labor Organization and the European Commission, ILO, Geneva. (with Inigo Verduzco-Gallo)

“Production Offshoring and Labor Markets: Recent Evidence and a Research Agenda.” 2010 in ed. Guido Porto Adjustment to Trade, World Bank.

“Profit Sharing Between Host Countries and Multinationals in Natural Resource Extraction: An Empirical Investigation” , Brookings Trade Forum 2007. (with Andrew Waxman)

“On the links between globalization and poverty,” forthcoming in Ravi Kanbur and A. Michael Spence, eds., Equity in a Global World, originally published in Journal of Economic Inequality, 5(1): 123-134, April, 2007.

“Food Aid and Poverty,” American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Volume 89, Number 5, December 2007, pp. 1152-1160(9). (with Barrett Kirwan)

Review of The White Man’s Burden by William Easterly, The Penguin Press (2006). Journal of International Economics, Volume 73, Issue 1, September 2007, Pages 213-215.

“U.S. Multinational Activity Abroad and U.S. Jobs: Substitutes or Complements?” Journal of Industrial Relations, Vol. 46, No. 2, pp. 347-365, April 2007. (with Ann Harrison and Clair Null)

“Does Food Aid Harm the Poor? Household Evidence from Ethiopia” in Ann Harrison, ed., Globalization and Poverty, Chicago: University of Chicago Press and the National Bureau of Economic Research, 2007.

“My Policies or Yours: Do OECD Agricultural Policies Affect Poverty in Developing Countries?” in Ann Harrison, ed., Globalization and Poverty, Chicago: University of Chicago Press and the National Bureau of Economic Research, 2007.

“Dispelling Some Myths About Offshoring”, Academy of Management Perspectives, 2006. (with Ann Harrison)

Review of “Global Agricultural Trade and Developing Countries”, The World Bank, Journal of Economic Literature, 2006.

“Global Capital Flows and Financing Constraints,” Journal of Development Economics, 75(1): 269-301, October 2004. (with Ann Harrison and Inessa Love) “When Economic Reform Goes Wrong: Cashew in Mozambique,” Brookings Trade Forum (with Dani Rodrik and Karen Welch)

“Does Direct Foreign Investment Affect Domestic Firms Credit Constraints?” Journal of International Economics, vol. 61, Issue 1, October 2003. (with Ann Harrison)

“An African Growth Trap: Production Technology and the Time-Consistency of Agricultural Taxation, R&D and Investment” Review of Development Economics, vol. 7, no. 2, May, 2003. (with William Masters)

“Leadership or Institutions? Reputation, Retaliation and Opportunistic Taxation” in John McLaren (editor), Institutional Elements of Tax Design and Reform, World Bank, Washington, D.C., January, 2003.

“Ethnolinguistic Diversity, Government and Growth,” in Frank Salter (editor), Welfare, Ethnicity and Altruism: New Findings and Evolutionary Theory, London, Frank Cass, 2003. (with William Masters)

Review of: African Economies in Transition. Volume 1. The Changing Role of the State. Volume 2. The Reform Experience, Jo Ann Paulson (editor), Journal of Economic Literature, vol. 39, no. 2, June, 2001.

“Climate and Scale in Economic Growth” Journal of Economic Growth, vol. 6, no.3, September, 2001. (with William Masters)

“Why Kill the Golden Goose? A Political Economy Model of Export Taxation” Review of Economics and Statistics, vol. 83, no. 1, February, 2001.

“Understanding the Political Economy of Tropical Agriculture” American Journal of Agricultural Economics, vol. 82, no. 3, August, 2000. (with William Masters)